A metric to calculate Price for Liquidity for stablecoin pools, based on aave base rate

Things to take into account:

  • Bridging time to a deep liquid market (mostly this is ethreum mainnet)
  • Current overall liquidity on the chain
  • Base rate on aave (ethreum mainnet), average between USDC and USDT
  • Risk premium of the DeFi Project holding the liquidty
  • Speed of the chain (Block-Time)
  • Reputation of the chain
  • Can the farmed token be sold on-chain?
  • Whats it the max size to move APR down 10% (say from 15% to 13.5%), this size is 10% of the TVL!

Real life numbers (2025-04-01)

USDC/USDC pool on Taiko currently pays 14%, while base rate on AAVE today is 3.27 % (USDT) and 2.85 % (USDC) average is 3.06%.

Multiplier: 14 % / 3.06 % = 4.57!

  • Risk premium for bridge and bridge speed is above normal. (bridge back is 4h)
  • Current overall liquidity on the chain is small/mid size
  • Risk premium for curve, close to 0
  • Taiko has a block time of 0.5-2 min (slow)
  • chain is exotic
  • reputation is good
  • Can the farmed token be sold on-chain? Not good, liquidity of $TAIKO on chain is low.
  • Max size to bring down TVL 10% 119K!

Tweet: https://x.com/martinkrung/status/1907068618074169581

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